January 1, 2025 Insurance Analysis Comments(41)

Lianqi Technology Ventures into AI Chips

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The rapid evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) technology in recent years has sparked an unprecedented demand for innovative chips, especially IoT and AI chipsThe demand for AI chips spans from cloud computing to edge computing, promising market opportunities exceeding billions of dollarsAccording to a recent report by ABI Research, the market for edge AI chips could reach $12.2 billion by 2025, while the cloud AI chip market is projected to hit $11.9 billionThis surge in demand for AI chips reflects a growth trajectory that many tech giants are keen to explore.

The increased need for AI chips across a diverse array of intelligent devices signifies a market worth over $30 billion, transforming chips into a critical asset of the AI eraTraditional chipmaking powerhouses like NVIDIA and Intel have rolled out a variety of AI chips catering to different needs, while fresh faces in the AI chip arena, such as Cambricon and Horizon Robotics, are making waves

Cambricon, a prominent Chinese AI chip innovation firm, has seen its stock price soar after its debut on the STAR Market, despite struggling with losses over the yearsOn the day of its debut, the company's market capitalization peaked at 100 billion yuan, showcasing a dramatic 230% increase in value.

Despite its promising start, Cambricon has continued to face considerable financial challenges, having recorded significant losses in recent financial years: 380 million yuan in 2017, 41 million yuan in 2018, and an alarming 1.18 billion yuan loss in 2019, summing up to a staggering 1.6 billion yuan over three yearsAs of the first half of 2020, the company was expected to incur a loss of approximately 220 million yuan, primarily due to escalating research and development expenses that have substantially impacted its net profit marginsCompeting against established players such as Intel, NVIDIA, Huawei, and ARM, Cambricon struggles with limitations in overall scale, financial strength, and R&D capabilities.

In contrast, another semiconductor chip firm, Montage Technology, has also listed on the STAR Market, joining the AI chip race in hopes of securing a portion of this lucrative market

Montage Technology disclosed that it commenced its AI chip research and development work in the first half of 2020, aiming to produce AI processor chips and SoCs for cloud data centers, with a total projected investment of 537 million yuanThe stark difference in financial performance between Montage Technology and Cambricon is evident; while Montage garnered significant revenue of 1.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2020, reaping a net profit of 600 million yuan—up 33.43% from the previous year—Cambricon's financial strain is an ongoing concern.

NVIDIA, recognized as a pioneer benefiting from the boom in AI, plays a crucial role in this landscapeThe company has become the largest producer of GPUs, essential for training AI systems, showcasing impressive growth in its data center revenuesIn the first quarter of fiscal 2021, NVIDIA's revenue from data centers soared 80% year-over-year to reach $1.14 billion

This meteoric rise in revenue and NVIDIA's flourishing stock market performance has allowed it to outstrip Intel, making it the largest chipmaker in the United StatesAs of now, NVIDIA boasts a market capitalization of $284.5 billion, significantly overshadowing Intel's $207.9 billion.

The dynamic shift in the semiconductor landscape, particularly highlighted by NVIDIA surpassing Intel, holds a bittersweet edge given Intel's long-standing reputation in the industryThe transitions during the mobile internet era, where Intel's struggle to produce high-performance smartphone chips facilitated the rise of ARM, exemplify the challenges they now face as other companies, including Huawei, Amazon, and Apple, look to ARM architecture for their computing solutions.

While Intel still commands a significant position in the CPU market, it is not immune to pressures from competitors like AMD, ARM, and NVIDIA

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The potential acquisition of ARM by NVIDIA could further compress Intel's market share across various segments, particularly in light of Apple’s shift towards ARM-based chips for its new devices, amplifying the competitive environmentThis growing trend could provoke further shifts in the semiconductor market, with more tech giants likely to rally around ARM.

Chips are poised to shape the fabric of the IoT and AI industrial chainsLeading internet companies like Google, Amazon, Baidu, and Alibaba are actively developing AI chips to reduce their reliance on traditional chip manufacturersBaidu has released its Kunlun and Honghu AI chips, while Google’s Tensor Processing Units (TPU) have evolved to their third generationAlthough Google does not directly sell these chips, it has built a cloud service around them, allowing developers to leverage TPUs through Google Cloud for AI training purposes.

Alibaba's introduction of the Hanguang 800 chip, designed for cloud-based visual processing applications, further exemplifies the aggressive pursuit of AI improvements among tech companies

With many other players like Cambricon and Horizon Robotics actively competing in niche AI chip markets, the global landscape appears crowded with contenders each aiming for dominance in AI technologyDespite the frenetic competition, NVIDIA and Intel remain the titans of high-performance chip production, presenting substantial challenges for emerging firms trying to disrupt their authority.

Finally, the expansion of NB-IoT and the rollout of 5G technologies will catalyze the connection of billions of smart devices to networks, significantly increasing the demand for AI-based computationsThis growth underscores the enormous market opportunity—amounting to billions—waiting to be realized by the chip industryUnder NVIDIA's leadership, AI chips are set to accelerate the practical applications of artificial intelligence, laying the groundwork for a future where smart technologies become integral to everyday life.

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